20061219

probability of a death march happening

probability of a death march happening


since doing too well on a death march to nowhere is not being significantly addressed by the calculation of a probable event coming in turn, your probability can only tell you what may happen in the future but fails to notify any event that has already happened and affecting your calculations now, what is made is already made, nothing other than a better playable hand can beat it, thus a death march continues if your probability of the event not happening has worked well and the event you hope will happen if fact does not happen, maybe next time when your probability tells you it will for 100% happen to you,
too much upside risk for a fat chance that your dream will not come true

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